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Huge turnout in Poland's decisive election, highest since 1919_我的网站

一 |     From 7 a.m. onward Sunday, ballot boxes in Poland started filling up so fast that spare ones had to be dusted off and more ballots needed to be printed. No one had anticipated such long lines throughout the country.Voting was to end at 9 p.m., but by law, polling stations stayed open to accept all who queued up, and the last one closed at 5 a.m. Monday. Some voters braved the night chill for up to eight hours to cast their vote.This resulted in a record turnout of nearly 74% -- highest voter turnout in Poland since 1919 and even higher than that of the first free elections after the fall of communism in 1989.The high turnout confirmed that millions of Poles agree these parliamentary elections may have been the most decisive in the last three decades. Either they would allow the ruling right-wing populist Law and Justice (PiS) party to extend its eight-year hold on power for another four-year term, or they would opt for the return of a liberal democracy.Late poll figures univocally indicate that opposition parties stand a realistic chance to form Poland's next government.The PiS conservatives currently in power took 36% of the vote, but that doesn't translate into a seat majority in parliament, which would allow it to form a Cabinet. Latest polls show they would have 196 deputies in the 460-seat legislature as opposed to 249 seats won by the broad Civic Coalition of opposition parties led by Donald Tusk, former president of the European Council.Sunday's vote was a confrontation of two radically different visions of Poland's future.Conditioned by PiS propaganda that has continually been exploiting fears, PiS supporters claim only that party can secure Poland's sovereignty and protect its interests. The threat of illegal migrants is perhaps the most unifying emotion binding the PiS electorate.Supporters see PiS as their only protector from the alleged dominance of European Union bureaucrats in Brussels and their meddling in Polish affairs.PiS voters turn a blind eye to the fact that the country began to drift toward authoritarian rule, authorities neglect the EU's legal norms and the country continues on a collision course with the Union. Some €36 billion of EU COVID pandemic recovery funds have been frozen in a row over PiS judicial reforms. Many observers believe another PiS term would result in Poland leaving the European Union.Germany, Poland's by far most important trade partner and neighbor, is presented as another source of fear and the country is made out to be an ally of Russia, Poland's greatest foe throughout centuries. But if it's not the threat of German capital buying out Polish industry, then it's the threat of moral decay.In order to appeal to radical voters who accuse the government of extending excessive welfare to Ukrainian refugees, authorities cynically strained relations with Kyiv.PiS voters declare the fear that if the party loses, the next government would take away the generous social benefits PiS guaranteed, such as 14 pensions, child care payments and early retirement.Those who Sunday voted for parties forming the anti-PiS coalition declare they voted for a Poland securely rooted in the European Union.In radio and TV street interviews, they say they want to see Poland mend its strained relations with neighbors, particularly Germany and Ukraine.They do not want to see the Catholic Church influencing state affairs.Sixty-four percent of those polled declare they're in favor of same-sex marriages, and 70% want the new government to liberalize the current strict anti-abortion law.It is uncertain whether Poland's new government will be prepared to meet the more liberal postulates voters expect. The potential ruling coalition's unifying factor is its pro-democratic, pro-EU, anti-PiS stance. Other than that, they often differ in their proposed policies and outlook. They're a broad coalition composed of parties spanning from the far left to liberal conservative.The Civic Coalition's clear victory makes it the only faction in parliament able to constitute Poland's new government. But first, Polish President Andrzej Duda, a PiS nominee, will need to designate a prime minister. Most likely, against the odds, he will name a PiS candidate. That candidate will have little realistic chance of being approved by parliament, and Poland may be faced with many weeks of squabbling and chaos. Constitutionalists predict it may not be until December that Poland gets its new government.。    　　《科创板日报》获悉，DeepSeek API开放平台将于2026年8月23日（周日）00:00起，优化峰谷计费规则。调整后，周末（周六及周日）全天将不再区分峰谷时段，统一按低谷时段价格计费。新规则生效前产生的费用，仍按原计费标准结算。　　当前，DeepSeek V4 Pro正式版已经更新至API，调用模型名不变。新版本大幅增强了Agent能力，支持Responses API和Codex接入。DeepSeek V4 Pro正式版基准测试显示，其在终端Agent测试Terminal Bench的得分为87.9分，逼近Fable 5的88.0分。在AI安全智能体评测基准CyberGym、以及在高难度的智能体评测基准AutomationBench上，表现甚至反超Fable 5。

二 | 　　随着DeepSeek V4全系列模型正式版上线，DeepSeek对API价格进行大幅涨价。

三 | 此前，DeepSeek发布API调价公告，采用峰谷定价，高峰时段是低谷时段价格的两倍，使得deepseek-v4-pro高峰时段百万tokens输出，最高价格达27元。高峰时段为北京时间9:00-12:00、14:00-18:00（其余为低谷时段）。　　DeepSeek官方把调价归因于“更合理地配置资源、提升服务稳定性”，新价格已于北京时间2026年8月17日0时开始生效。　　从行业来看，DeepSeek的涨价并非孤例。今年以来，阿里云、腾讯云、百度智能云、智谱AI等国内头部厂商已集体调价。腾讯云连续两次宣布涨价；智谱AI更是在年内进行了三次API价格上调。

四 | 　　根据摩根士丹利此前发布的研报《告别价格战，打响智力战》（Intelligence War Over Price War）显示，其统计字节跳动、阿里巴巴、百度、腾讯、MiniMax、智谱、月之暗面和DeepSeek等厂商官方报价后发现，2026年第二季度，中国大模型平均API输入价格已经升至每百万Token4.9元，输出价格升至21.9元，相比2025年第一季度的3.3元和12.2元，分别上涨约48%和80%。　　开源证券认为，“涨价”展示了大模型厂商从“以低价换市场”向“以价值定价”的战略转向，Token定价逻辑转向价值回归。

五 | Token通胀并非短期脉冲，而是具有持续性和结构性的产业趋势。一方面，大模型厂商从价格战集体转向价值定价，DeepSeek、智谱、阿里、腾讯等头部厂商同步涨价，行业共识正在形成。Agent普及驱动Token消耗乘数式增长的趋势不可逆，多Agent协同带来的网络效应将进一步放大Token需求。

六 | 　　中银证券表示，腾讯等国产CSP厂商资本开支上调与以DeepSeek为代表的大模型涨价，正成为持续拉动国产算力需求的两大核心引擎。其中，DeepSeek-V4-Pro上调价格的产业信号意义较强。一方面，大模型推理成本伴随参数规模、上下文长度和用户调用量提升而增加，价格调整有助于改善模型厂商的单位算力回报与商业化能力；另一方面，模型能力提升及付费模式逐步成熟，将推动大模型行业从“低价获客”转向“价值定价”，改善AI服务的商业闭环。　　该机构认为，模型调用价格上升并不意味着算力需求减弱，反而验证了高性能模型供需紧张及优质算力的稀缺性。随着推理需求由互联网应用向办公、金融、工业、政务等场景扩散，算力需求将从训练侧集中投入转向“训练与推理并重”，从而带动服务器、交换机、光互连、PCB、高速连接器、电源及液冷等基础设施持续扩容。（文章来源：财联社）。

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